Knockout Math
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KuPS Kuopio vs Trabzonspor: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45

KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
29%KuPS Kuopio win
26%Draw
45%Trabzonspor win

The model gives KuPS Kuopio a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Trabzonspor 45%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 71%, a defeat to 31%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 63%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

KuPS Kuopio: top 8KuPS Kuopio: throughTrabzonspor: top 8Trabzonspor: through
Now6%47%24%79%
KuPS Kuopio win14%71%9%63%
Draw4%47%17%76%
Trabzonspor win2%31%38%92%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%

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