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What does KuPS Kuopio need to go through in the Conference League?

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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, KuPS Kuopio are 31st with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Borac. In our simulations KuPS Kuopio go through (24th place or better) in 31% of cases and make the top 8 in 1%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against CSKA Sofia (matchday 5) and Borac (matchday 2): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.

31stleague position
0point from 1 match
31%chance of going through (top 24)
1%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 33rd, average 27.1.

KuPS Kuopio matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45
    HomeTrabzonspor2–4
    Win 27%, draw 25%, defeat 48%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00
    AwayBorac –
    Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 39%
    Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw27%If they lose14%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeGent –
    Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 49%
    Chance of going through:If they win56%If they draw30%If they lose18%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00
    AwayBraga –
    Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 66%
    Chance of going through:If they win63%If they draw36%If they lose22%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    HomeCSKA Sofia –
    Win 39%, draw 26%, defeat 35%
    Chance of going through:If they win51%If they draw24%If they lose13%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00
    AwayNordsjælland –
    Win 20%, draw 23%, defeat 57%
    Chance of going through:If they win60%If they draw33%If they lose20%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points KuPS Kuopio collect in the league phase.

00%
10%
20%
30%
40%
51%
616%
777%
8>99%
9100%
10100%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14unlikely
15unlikely
16unlikely
17unlikely
18unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could KuPS Kuopio finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Conference League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Brighton398%
  2. 2Copenhagen399%
  3. 3Trabzonspor393%
  4. 4Atalanta3>99%
  5. 5Sint-Truidense380%
  6. 6Mjällby388%
  7. 7Freiburg397%
  8. 8Lugano386%
  9. 9Monaco399%
  10. 10Panathinaikos385%
  11. 11Brann383%
  12. 12Hajduk Split391%
  13. 13Twente395%
  14. 14Gent393%
  15. 15Kairat Almaty141%
  16. 16Nordsjælland172%
  17. 17Getafe191%
  18. 18Midtjylland190%
  19. 19Universitatea Craiova168%
  20. 20Hearts163%
  21. 21Riga FC148%
  22. 22Egnatia146%
  23. 23Jablonec044%
  24. 24Crvena Zvezda078%
  25. 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
  26. 26Ajax069%
  27. 27Borac027%
  28. 28CSKA Sofia043%
  29. 29Thun038%
  30. 30Aarhus072%
  31. 31KuPS Kuopio031%
  32. 32Pafos050%
  33. 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
  34. 34Inter Escaldes06%
  35. 35Braga082%
  36. 36Kauno Žalgiris032%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are KuPS Kuopio's chances of going through in the Conference League?

Across 30,000 simulations KuPS Kuopio go through (24th place or better) in 31% of cases and reach the top 8 in 1%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do KuPS Kuopio need to qualify?

7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.

When is KuPS Kuopio's next match?

22 October, away against Borac on matchday 2 of the Conference League.

Which match matters most for KuPS Kuopio?

The matchday 4 game away against Braga. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 41 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.