Trabzonspor vs Freiburg: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
FreiburgLeague phase not started yet
29%Trabzonspor win
26%Draw
45%Freiburg win
The model gives Trabzonspor a 29% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Freiburg 45%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 69%. Freiburg's chance of going through is 94% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 88%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Trabzonspor: top 8 | Trabzonspor: through | Freiburg: top 8 | Freiburg: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 24% | 79% | 51% | 94% |
| Trabzonspor win | 44% | 93% | 30% | 88% |
| Draw | 21% | 80% | 44% | 93% |
| Freiburg win | 12% | 69% | 69% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia