Knockout Math
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Borac vs KuPS Kuopio: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00

BoracLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
38%Borac win
26%Draw
35%KuPS Kuopio win

The model gives Borac a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and KuPS Kuopio 35%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 55%, a defeat to 17%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 29%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Borac: top 8Borac: throughKuPS Kuopio: top 8KuPS Kuopio: through
Now3%35%6%47%
Borac win6%55%2%29%
Draw1%29%3%44%
KuPS Kuopio win1%17%12%69%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

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