Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
AtalantaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
82%Atalanta win
12%Draw
6%Kairat Almaty win
The model gives Atalanta a 82% chance of winning, a draw 12% and Kairat Almaty 6%. Atalanta's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 77%, a defeat to 39%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Atalanta: top 8 | Atalanta: through | Kairat Almaty: top 8 | Kairat Almaty: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 85% | 99% | 4% | 43% |
| Atalanta win | 89% | >99% | 3% | 39% |
| Draw | 70% | 98% | 7% | 55% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 57% | 97% | 18% | 77% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
4–08%
2–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia