Borac vs Atalanta: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
BoracLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
AtalantaLeague phase not started yet
9%Borac win
16%Draw
75%Atalanta win
The model gives Borac a 9% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Atalanta 75%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 67%, a defeat to 29%. Atalanta's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Borac: top 8 | Borac: through | Atalanta: top 8 | Atalanta: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3% | 35% | 85% | 99% |
| Borac win | 12% | 67% | 60% | 97% |
| Draw | 4% | 44% | 72% | 99% |
| Atalanta win | 1% | 29% | 91% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente