What does Lincoln Red Imps need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Lincoln Red Imps will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Brann. In our simulations Lincoln Red Imps go through (24th place or better) in 11% of cases and make the top 8 in <1%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Egnatia (matchday 4) and Hajduk Split (matchday 3): each result moves the chances by about 24 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

11%chance of going through (top 24)

<1%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 36th, average 31.5.

Lincoln Red Imps matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwayBrann –

Win 11%, draw 17%, defeat 72%

Chance of going through:If they win33%If they draw14%If they lose6%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

HomeTwente –

Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 66%

Chance of going through:If they win31%If they draw12%If they lose6%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

HomeHajduk Split –

Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%

Chance of going through:If they win29%If they draw11%If they lose5%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

AwayEgnatia –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win28%If they draw10%If they lose5%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

HomeMidtjylland –

Win 12%, draw 19%, defeat 69%

Chance of going through:If they win32%If they draw13%If they lose6%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayMonaco –

Win 3%, draw 8%, defeat 89%

Chance of going through:If they win42%If they draw18%If they lose9%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Lincoln Red Imps collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

5<1%

67%

761%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13unlikely

14unlikely

15unlikely

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Lincoln Red Imps finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland92%
6Copenhagen91%
7Braga91%
8Getafe91%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax84%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby79%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos74%
18Hajduk Split71%
19Nordsjælland72%
20Hearts67%
21Sint-Truidense67%
22Universitatea Craiova66%
23Lugano65%
24Pafos55%
25CSKA Sofia53%
26Riga FC53%
27Jablonec50%
28Thun48%
29KuPS Kuopio47%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Egnatia40%
32Kauno Žalgiris40%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi25%
35Inter Escaldes12%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.