Lincoln Red Imps vs Midtjylland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
MidtjyllandLeague phase not started yet
12%Lincoln Red Imps win
19%Draw
69%Midtjylland win
The model gives Lincoln Red Imps a 12% chance of winning, a draw 19% and Midtjylland 69%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 32%, a defeat to 6%. Midtjylland's chance of going through is 92% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 78%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lincoln Red Imps: top 8 | Lincoln Red Imps: through | Midtjylland: top 8 | Midtjylland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 11% | 47% | 92% |
| Lincoln Red Imps win | 2% | 32% | 20% | 78% |
| Draw | <1% | 13% | 31% | 86% |
| Midtjylland win | <1% | 6% | 56% | 97% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos