Hearts vs Monaco: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
HeartsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
23%Hearts win
25%Draw
52%Monaco win
The model gives Hearts a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Monaco 52%. Hearts's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 57%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 87%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Hearts: top 8 | Hearts: through | Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 67% | 52% | 95% |
| Hearts win | 32% | 88% | 27% | 87% |
| Draw | 13% | 70% | 40% | 94% |
| Monaco win | 7% | 57% | 68% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente