CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
33%CSKA Sofia win
26%Draw
41%Trabzonspor win
The model gives CSKA Sofia a 33% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Trabzonspor 41%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 76%, a defeat to 36%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | Trabzonspor: top 8 | Trabzonspor: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 53% | 24% | 79% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 16% | 76% | 10% | 65% |
| Draw | 5% | 50% | 19% | 78% |
| Trabzonspor win | 3% | 36% | 39% | 92% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente