Knockout Math
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Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00

Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
TwenteLeague phase not started yet
14%Lincoln Red Imps win
20%Draw
66%Twente win

The model gives Lincoln Red Imps a 14% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Twente 66%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 31%, a defeat to 6%. Twente's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 71%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Lincoln Red Imps: top 8Lincoln Red Imps: throughTwente: top 8Twente: through
Now<1%11%36%89%
Lincoln Red Imps win2%31%12%71%
Draw<1%12%22%82%
Twente win<1%6%46%95%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

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