Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
The model gives Lincoln Red Imps a 13% chance of winning, a draw 20% and Twente 67%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 7% now: a win would take it to 24%, a defeat to 3%. Twente's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 84%. The most likely score is 0–2 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Lincoln Red Imps: top 8 | Lincoln Red Imps: through | Twente: top 8 | Twente: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 7% | 48% | 95% |
| Lincoln Red Imps win | 1% | 24% | 19% | 84% |
| Draw | <1% | 8% | 30% | 92% |
| Twente win | <1% | 3% | 59% | 99% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Lincoln Red Imps
- MD1LBrann A1–2
- MD2Twente H this match22 October
- MD3Hajduk Split H5 November
- MD4Egnatia A26 November
- MD5Midtjylland H10 December
- MD6Monaco A17 December
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente?
The model gives Lincoln Red Imps a 13% chance of winning and Twente 67%, with a draw at 20%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 0–2 (12%), followed by 0–1 (12%).
Will both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente?
The model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lincoln Red Imps and 2.1 for Twente, and the match has 3 or more goals in 55% of cases.
What does this match mean for Lincoln Red Imps?
Lincoln Red Imps's qualification chance is 7% right now. A win would make it 24%, a draw 8% and a defeat 3%.
What does this match mean for Twente?
Twente's qualification chance is 95% right now. A win would make it 99%, a draw 92% and a defeat 84%.
When is Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente played?
Thursday 22 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Braga – Gent