Thun vs Hajduk Split: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 21:00
ThunLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
Hajduk SplitLeague phase not started yet
38%Thun win
26%Draw
35%Hajduk Split win
The model gives Thun a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hajduk Split 35%. Thun's chance of going through is 48% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 28%. Hajduk Split's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 55%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Thun: top 8 | Thun: through | Hajduk Split: top 8 | Hajduk Split: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 48% | 17% | 71% |
| Thun win | 12% | 70% | 7% | 55% |
| Draw | 4% | 42% | 12% | 71% |
| Hajduk Split win | 2% | 28% | 31% | 89% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent