Twente 1–0 Thun
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 21:00
Twente beat Thun 1–0 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Twente are 13th with 3 points, with a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 48%). Thun are now 29th with 0 points, with a 38% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (58%). The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%). Expected goals before the match: Twente 1.8, Thun 0.9.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Twente | 89% → 95% | 36% → 48% |
| Thun | 48% → 38% | 6% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Twente
- MD1WThun H this match1–0
- MD2Lincoln Red Imps A22 October
- MD3Pafos H5 November
- MD4Freiburg A26 November
- MD5Aarhus A10 December
- MD6Kairat Almaty H17 December
Thun
- MD1LTwente A this match0–1
- MD2Hajduk Split H22 October
- MD3Hearts H5 November
- MD4Ajax A26 November
- MD5Gent H10 December
- MD6CSKA Sofia A17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Twente vs Thun?
The match finished 1–0 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Twente vs Thun a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Twente a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Thun 19%. The outcome the model rated most likely (58%). The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%).
How did the result change Twente's chances?
Before matchday 1, Twente had a 89% chance of going through (top 8: 36%). Now it is 95% (top 8: 48%).
How did the result change Thun's chances?
Before matchday 1, Thun had a 48% chance of going through (top 8: 6%). Now it is 38% (top 8: 2%).
When was Twente vs Thun played?
Thursday 15 October, 21:00 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)