What does Thun need to go through in the Conference League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Thun are 29th with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Hajduk Split. In our simulations Thun go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and make the top 8 in 2%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Hearts (matchday 3) and Hajduk Split (matchday 2): each result moves the chances by about 41 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 32nd, average 25.7.
Thun matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 18%, draw 22%, defeat 60%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 36%, draw 26%, defeat 37%Chance of going through:If they win60%If they draw32%If they lose20%
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Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 36%Chance of going through:If they win60%If they draw31%If they lose19%
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Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 66%Chance of going through:If they win71%If they draw44%If they lose29%
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Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%Chance of going through:If they win62%If they draw36%If they lose22%
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Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 29%, draw 26%, defeat 45%Chance of going through:If they win64%If they draw36%If they lose22%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Thun collect in the league phase.
Where could Thun finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Thun's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Thun go through (24th place or better) in 38% of cases and reach the top 8 in 2%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Thun need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.
When is Thun's next match?
22 October, at home against Hajduk Split on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Thun?
The matchday 4 game away against Ajax. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 42 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.