CSKA Sofia vs Monaco: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
CSKA SofiaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 1
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
20%CSKA Sofia win
23%Draw
56%Monaco win
The model gives CSKA Sofia a 20% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Monaco 56%. CSKA Sofia's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 43%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 86%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| CSKA Sofia: top 8 | CSKA Sofia: through | Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 8% | 53% | 52% | 95% |
| CSKA Sofia win | 20% | 78% | 27% | 86% |
| Draw | 7% | 55% | 38% | 93% |
| Monaco win | 3% | 43% | 66% | 99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda
- Hajduk Split – Ajax
- Gent – Aarhus
- Egnatia – Midtjylland
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes
- Panathinaikos – Borac
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe
- Atalanta – Pafos
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris
- Copenhagen – Braga
- Twente – Thun
- Hearts – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi
- Freiburg – Jablonec
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps