CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Monaco won 2–1 away at CSKA Sofia on matchday 1. After the match, CSKA Sofia are 28th with 0 points, with a 43% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). Monaco are now 9th with 3 points, with a 99% chance of going through (top 8: 65%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
The outcome the model rated most likely (56%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance. Expected goals before the match: CSKA Sofia 1.0, Monaco 1.8.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | 53% → 43% | 8% → 3% |
| Monaco | 95% → 99% | 52% → 65% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
CSKA Sofia
- MD1LMonaco H this match1–2
- MD2Nordsjælland A22 October
- MD3Panathinaikos A5 November
- MD4Trabzonspor H26 November
- MD5KuPS Kuopio A10 December
- MD6Thun H17 December
Monaco
- MD1WCSKA Sofia A this match2–1
- MD2Freiburg H22 October
- MD3Nordsjælland H5 November
- MD4Hearts A26 November
- MD5Brighton A10 December
- MD6Lincoln Red Imps H17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
The match finished 1–2 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was CSKA Sofia vs Monaco a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave CSKA Sofia a 20% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Monaco 56%. The outcome the model rated most likely (56%). The model's most likely score was 0–1 (12%); the actual score had a 10% chance.
How did the result change CSKA Sofia's chances?
Before matchday 1, CSKA Sofia had a 53% chance of going through (top 8: 8%). Now it is 43% (top 8: 3%).
How did the result change Monaco's chances?
Before matchday 1, Monaco had a 95% chance of going through (top 8: 52%). Now it is 99% (top 8: 65%).
When was CSKA Sofia vs Monaco played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)