Knockout Math
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Trabzonspor vs Hearts: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45

TrabzonsporLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
HeartsLeague phase not started yet
51%Trabzonspor win
25%Draw
24%Hearts win

The model gives Trabzonspor a 51% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Hearts 24%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 91%, a defeat to 61%. Hearts's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 56%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Trabzonspor: top 8Trabzonspor: throughHearts: top 8Hearts: through
Now24%79%14%67%
Trabzonspor win36%91%7%56%
Draw15%74%13%70%
Hearts win9%61%31%88%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

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