Trabzonspor vs Hearts: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
The model gives Trabzonspor a 53% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Hearts 23%. Trabzonspor's chance of going through is 93% now: a win would take it to 99%, a defeat to 82%. Hearts's chance of going through is 63% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 51%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Outcome | Trabzonspor: top 8 | Trabzonspor: through | Hearts: top 8 | Hearts: through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 41% | 93% | 8% | 63% |
| Trabzonspor win | 56% | 99% | 2% | 51% |
| Draw | 29% | 92% | 7% | 65% |
| Hearts win | 18% | 82% | 21% | 88% |
Goals
From the model's expected goals for each side. Scores are drawn from a Poisson distribution, the standard model for football scores.
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Trabzonspor
- MD1WKuPS Kuopio A4–2
- MD2Hearts H this match22 October
- MD3Freiburg H5 November
- MD4CSKA Sofia A26 November
- MD5Jablonec H10 December
- MD6Crvena Zvezda A17 December
Frequently asked questions
Who is favourite in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
The model gives Trabzonspor a 53% chance of winning and Hearts 23%, with a draw at 24%.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%), followed by 1–0 (12%).
Will both teams score in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
The model gives both teams scoring a 51% chance. Expected goals are 1.7 for Trabzonspor and 1.0 for Hearts, and the match has 3 or more goals in 50% of cases.
What does this match mean for Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor's qualification chance is 93% right now. A win would make it 99%, a draw 92% and a defeat 82%.
What does this match mean for Hearts?
Hearts's qualification chance is 63% right now. A win would make it 88%, a draw 65% and a defeat 51%.
When is Trabzonspor vs Hearts played?
Thursday 22 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 2).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent