Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October, 18:45
Crvena ZvezdaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 2
CopenhagenLeague phase not started yet
41%Crvena Zvezda win
26%Draw
33%Copenhagen win
The model gives Crvena Zvezda a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Copenhagen 33%. Crvena Zvezda's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 77%. Copenhagen's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crvena Zvezda: top 8 | Crvena Zvezda: through | Copenhagen: top 8 | Copenhagen: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 35% | 88% | 44% | 91% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 54% | 97% | 27% | 85% |
| Draw | 27% | 86% | 41% | 92% |
| Copenhagen win | 17% | 77% | 68% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
- Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby
- Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia
- Jablonec – Brighton
- Kauno Žalgiris – Brann
- Getafe – Lugano
- Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos – Riga FC
- Trabzonspor – Hearts
- Ajax – Atalanta
- Aarhus – Egnatia
- Monaco – Freiburg
- Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense
- Thun – Hajduk Split
- Borac – KuPS Kuopio
- Lincoln Red Imps – Twente
- Braga – Gent