Europa League matchday 2: what every team needs
← Europa League: full table and chances
Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase
Europa League matchday 2 is played on 15 October across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Omonia: a win would lift their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat would drop them to 33%.
Matchday 2 fixtures
Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 AZ Alkmaar – Hapoel Beer-Sheva 60% · 22% · 18%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Celje – Omonia 42% · 26% · 32%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Lech Poznań – Leverkusen 16% · 21% · 62%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Lyon – Crystal Palace 44% · 26% · 30%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Salzburg – Milan 28% · 26% · 46%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Sparta Praha – Lillestrøm 64% · 21% · 15%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Torreense – Sunderland 26% · 25% · 49%
- Thu 15 Oct, 18:45 Union SG – Real Sociedad 45% · 26% · 29%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Benfica – Celtic 66% · 20% · 14%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Bournemouth – Sturm Graz 62% · 21% · 16%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Celta – Juventus 25% · 25% · 50%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň 49% · 25% · 26%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht 44% · 26% · 30%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş 45% · 26% · 29%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Jagiellonia – Ararat-Armenia 59% · 23% · 18%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Marseille – Olympiacos 47% · 26% · 28%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 N.E.C. Nijmegen – Levski Sofia 55% · 24% · 21%
- Thu 15 Oct, 21:00 Rennes – OFI Crete 63% · 21% · 16%
Who has the most at stake
The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.
| Team | Fixture | Now | If they win | If they lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia | Celje – Omonia | 49% | 73% | 33% |
| Viktoria Plzeň | Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň | 45% | 69% | 31% |
| GNK Dinamo | GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht | 55% | 72% | 36% |
| OFI Crete | Rennes – OFI Crete | 56% | 83% | 47% |
| Anderlecht | GNK Dinamo – Anderlecht | 49% | 70% | 35% |
Frequently asked questions
When is Europa League matchday 2 played?
On 15 October, across 18 fixtures.
Which team has the most at stake on matchday 2?
Omonia. A win lifts their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat drops them to 33% — a swing of about 41 percentage points.
What does the table look like before matchday 2?
Juventus lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Europa League page.
How many points are needed to qualify?
In the simulations 15 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.