What does Juventus need to go through in the Europa League?
← Back to the Europa League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Juventus are 1st with 6 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Rennes. In our simulations Juventus go through almost every time, so the real question is the top 8, which they reach in 89% of cases. 15 points usually secure a top-8 place, and 16 make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Rennes (matchday 3) and Ferencváros (matchday 7): each result moves their top-8 chances by about 23 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 1st, average 4.1.
Juventus matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00Win 75%, draw 16%, defeat 9%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 52%, draw 25%, defeat 23%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 64%, draw 21%, defeat 15%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw100%If they lose>99%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 50%, draw 25%, defeat 25%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose>99%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 78%, draw 14%, defeat 7%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw100%If they lose>99%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 67%, draw 20%, defeat 13%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw100%If they lose>99%
-
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw100%If they lose>99%
-
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 63%, draw 21%, defeat 16%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw100%If they lose>99%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Juventus collect in the league phase.
Where could Juventus finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Juventus's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Juventus go through (24th place or better) in 100% of cases and reach the top 8 in 89%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Juventus need to qualify?
10 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is Juventus's next match?
22 October, at home against Rennes on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Juventus?
The matchday 5 game at home against Omonia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 0 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.