What does Marseille need to go through in the Europa League?
← Back to the Europa League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 2, Marseille are 32nd with 0 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Sturm Graz. In our simulations Marseille go through (24th place or better) in 68% of cases and make the top 8 in 4%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Sturm Graz (matchday 3) and Anderlecht (matchday 8): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 20th, average 20.7.
Marseille matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw61%If they lose47%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 59%Chance of going through:If they win89%If they draw72%If they lose59%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 70%, draw 18%, defeat 11%Chance of going through:If they win77%If they draw51%If they lose38%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 51%, draw 25%, defeat 24%Chance of going through:If they win82%If they draw60%If they lose46%
-
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 32%Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw63%If they lose50%
-
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00Win 59%, draw 23%, defeat 18%Chance of going through:If they win80%If they draw56%If they lose42%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Marseille collect in the league phase.
Where could Marseille finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Europa League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Juventus6100%
- 2Leverkusen6>99%
- 3Benfica6100%
- 4Beşiktaş698%
- 5Bournemouth6>99%
- 6Omonia682%
- 7Ferencváros697%
- 8Lyon699%
- 9Sunderland699%
- 10Olympiacos699%
- 11Sparta Praha480%
- 12Union SG496%
- 13Rennes491%
- 14GNK Dinamo476%
- 15Crystal Palace393%
- 16Milan399%
- 17Jagiellonia359%
- 18OFI Crete352%
- 19Torreense356%
- 20AZ Alkmaar386%
- 21Salzburg384%
- 22Real Sociedad172%
- 23Lillestrøm118%
- 24Hapoel Beer-Sheva120%
- 25Levski Sofia124%
- 26Sturm Graz146%
- 27N.E.C. Nijmegen153%
- 28Anderlecht038%
- 29Celta054%
- 30Hoffenheim047%
- 31Viktoria Plzeň033%
- 32Marseille068%
- 33Celtic038%
- 34Ararat-Armenia06%
- 35Celje019%
- 36Lech Poznań019%
How the league phase works
The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Marseille's chances of going through in the Europa League?
Across 30,000 simulations Marseille go through (24th place or better) in 68% of cases and reach the top 8 in 4%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Marseille need to qualify?
9 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 10 points make it almost certain.
When is Marseille's next match?
22 October, away against Sturm Graz on matchday 3 of the Europa League.
Which match matters most for Marseille?
The matchday 5 game at home against Levski Sofia. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 39 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Europa League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.