Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2–1 at home on matchday 1. After the match, Hajduk Split are 12th with 3 points, with a 91% chance of going through (top 8: 34%). Ajax are now 26th with 0 points, with a 69% chance of going through (top 8: 11%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 28%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance. Expected goals before the match: Hajduk Split 1.1, Ajax 1.5.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split | 72% → 91% | 17% → 34% |
| Ajax | 84% → 69% | 30% → 11% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Hajduk Split
- MD1WAjax H this match2–1
- MD2Thun A22 October
- MD3Lincoln Red Imps A5 November
- MD4Sint-Truidense H26 November
- MD5Nordsjælland H10 December
- MD6Midtjylland A17 December
Ajax
- MD1LHajduk Split A this match1–2
- MD2Atalanta H22 October
- MD3Midtjylland A5 November
- MD4Thun H26 November
- MD5Sint-Truidense A10 December
- MD6Getafe H17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hajduk Split vs Ajax?
The match finished 2–1 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Hajduk Split vs Ajax a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Hajduk Split a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Ajax 46%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 28%. The model's most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the actual score had a 7% chance.
How did the result change Hajduk Split's chances?
Before matchday 1, Hajduk Split had a 72% chance of going through (top 8: 17%). Now it is 91% (top 8: 34%).
How did the result change Ajax's chances?
Before matchday 1, Ajax had a 84% chance of going through (top 8: 30%). Now it is 69% (top 8: 11%).
When was Hajduk Split vs Ajax played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty (1–1)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)