Riga FC vs Atalanta: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
AtalantaLeague phase not started yet
11%Riga FC win
18%Draw
71%Atalanta win
The model gives Riga FC a 11% chance of winning, a draw 18% and Atalanta 71%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 47%. Atalanta's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. The most likely score is 0–2 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | Atalanta: top 8 | Atalanta: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 53% | 85% | 99% |
| Riga FC win | 24% | 82% | 60% | 97% |
| Draw | 9% | 60% | 74% | 99% |
| Atalanta win | 5% | 47% | 92% | >99% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–213%
0–111%
0–39%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- Getafe – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos