Getafe vs Inter Escaldes: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 5 · Thursday 10 December, 18:45
GetafeLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 5
Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
81%Getafe win
13%Draw
6%Inter Escaldes win
The model gives Getafe a 81% chance of winning, a draw 13% and Inter Escaldes 6%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 70%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 38%, a defeat to 10%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Getafe: top 8 | Getafe: through | Inter Escaldes: top 8 | Inter Escaldes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 42% | 91% | <1% | 12% |
| Getafe win | 47% | 95% | <1% | 10% |
| Draw | 22% | 82% | 1% | 17% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 14% | 70% | 3% | 38% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
Other matchday 5 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Universitatea Craiova
- Copenhagen – Lugano
- Iberia Tbilisi – Crvena Zvezda
- KuPS Kuopio – CSKA Sofia
- Lincoln Red Imps – Midtjylland
- Riga FC – Atalanta
- Freiburg – Panathinaikos
- Brann – Braga
- Trabzonspor – Jablonec
- Aarhus – Twente
- Brighton – Monaco
- Thun – Gent
- Hearts – Borac
- Hajduk Split – Nordsjælland
- Sint-Truidense – Ajax
- Egnatia – Kauno Žalgiris
- Mjällby – Pafos