What does Atalanta need to go through in the Conference League?
← Back to the Conference League table
Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Atalanta are 4th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Ajax. In our simulations Atalanta go through almost every time, so the real question is the top 8, which they reach in 90% of cases. 12 points usually secure a top-8 place, and 13 make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Riga (matchday 5) and Mjällby (matchday 6): each result moves their top-8 chances by about 25 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 1st, average 3.7.
Atalanta matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
-
Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 78%, draw 15%, defeat 8%Chance of going through:Played
-
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 47%, draw 26%, defeat 28%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose99%
-
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45Win 83%, draw 12%, defeat 5%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose98%
-
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 76%, draw 15%, defeat 9%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose99%
-
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45Win 72%, draw 18%, defeat 11%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose99%
-
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 78%, draw 15%, defeat 8%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw>99%If they lose99%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Atalanta collect in the league phase.
Where could Atalanta finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Atalanta's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Atalanta go through (24th place or better) in >99% of cases and reach the top 8 in 90%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Atalanta need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations.
When is Atalanta's next match?
22 October, away against Ajax on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Atalanta?
The matchday 3 game at home against Kairat Almaty. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 2 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.