Riga FC 1–1 Kairat Almaty
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October, 18:45
Riga FC and Kairat Almaty drew 1–1 on matchday 1. After the match, Riga FC are 21st with 1 point, with a 48% chance of going through (top 8: 3%). Kairat Almaty are now 15th with 1 point, with a 41% chance of going through (top 8: 2%).
Before kick-off
What the model expected, based on team ratings before matchday 1.
Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%). Expected goals before the match: Riga FC 1.4, Kairat Almaty 1.2.
Chances before and now
Before matchday 1 compared with now, after all results so far.
| Team | Through (top 24) | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|
| Riga FC | 53% → 48% | 7% → 3% |
| Kairat Almaty | 43% → 41% | 4% → 2% |
Form and fixtures
Both teams' Conference League matches: results so far and what is still to come.
Riga FC
- MD1DKairat Almaty H this match1–1
- MD2Pafos A22 October
- MD3Jablonec H5 November
- MD4Kauno Žalgiris A26 November
- MD5Atalanta H10 December
- MD6Borac A17 December
Kairat Almaty
- MD1DRiga FC A this match1–1
- MD2Panathinaikos H22 October
- MD3Atalanta A5 November
- MD4Mjällby H26 November
- MD5Universitatea Craiova H10 December
- MD6Twente A17 December
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty?
The match finished 1–1 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Was Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty a surprise?
Before kick-off the model gave Riga FC a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Kairat Almaty 31%. Not the most likely outcome, but no big surprise either: the model gave it 26%. The exact score was also the model's most likely one (12%).
How did the result change Riga FC's chances?
Before matchday 1, Riga FC had a 53% chance of going through (top 8: 7%). Now it is 48% (top 8: 3%).
How did the result change Kairat Almaty's chances?
Before matchday 1, Kairat Almaty had a 43% chance of going through (top 8: 4%). Now it is 41% (top 8: 2%).
When was Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty played?
Thursday 15 October, 18:45 (Conference League, matchday 1).
Big matches coming up
For each match: win probabilities and what every result means for both teams' chances of going through.
Other matchday 1 fixtures
- Lugano – Crvena Zvezda (3–2)
- Hajduk Split – Ajax (2–1)
- Gent – Aarhus (1–0)
- Egnatia – Midtjylland (1–1)
- KuPS Kuopio – Trabzonspor (2–4)
- Mjällby – Inter Escaldes (2–0)
- Panathinaikos – Borac (2–1)
- CSKA Sofia – Monaco (1–2)
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe (1–1)
- Atalanta – Pafos (3–1)
- Brighton – Kauno Žalgiris (4–0)
- Copenhagen – Braga (3–0)
- Twente – Thun (1–0)
- Hearts – Nordsjælland (1–1)
- Sint-Truidense – Iberia Tbilisi (2–0)
- Freiburg – Jablonec (3–2)
- Brann – Lincoln Red Imps (2–1)