Knockout Math
Live
EN

What does Mjällby need to go through in the Conference League?

← Back to the Conference League table

Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Mjällby are 6th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Iberia Tbilisi. In our simulations Mjällby go through (24th place or better) in 88% of cases and make the top 8 in 27%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 3 game at home against Borac: winning or losing it moves the chances by 26 percentage points.

6thleague position
3point from 1 match
88%chance of going through (top 24)
27%chance of making the top 8

30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 13th, average 14.3.

Mjällby matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45
    Win 68%, draw 19%, defeat 13%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    Win 45%, draw 26%, defeat 29%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw87%If they lose75%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45
    HomeBorac –
    Win 57%, draw 23%, defeat 20%
    Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw84%If they lose70%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 16:30
    AwayKairat Almaty –
    Win 36%, draw 26%, defeat 38%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw90%If they lose79%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00
    HomePafos –
    Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%
    Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw88%If they lose75%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00
    AwayAtalanta –
    Win 8%, draw 15%, defeat 78%
    Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw94%If they lose86%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Mjällby collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
1unlikely
2unlikely
30%
40%
51%
619%
781%
8>99%
9100%
10100%
11100%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17unlikely
18100%
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Mjällby finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Conference League table

The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Brighton398%
  2. 2Copenhagen399%
  3. 3Trabzonspor393%
  4. 4Atalanta3>99%
  5. 5Sint-Truidense380%
  6. 6Mjällby388%
  7. 7Freiburg397%
  8. 8Lugano386%
  9. 9Monaco399%
  10. 10Panathinaikos385%
  11. 11Brann383%
  12. 12Hajduk Split391%
  13. 13Twente395%
  14. 14Gent393%
  15. 15Kairat Almaty141%
  16. 16Nordsjælland172%
  17. 17Getafe191%
  18. 18Midtjylland190%
  19. 19Universitatea Craiova168%
  20. 20Hearts163%
  21. 21Riga FC148%
  22. 22Egnatia146%
  23. 23Jablonec044%
  24. 24Crvena Zvezda078%
  25. 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
  26. 26Ajax069%
  27. 27Borac027%
  28. 28CSKA Sofia043%
  29. 29Thun038%
  30. 30Aarhus072%
  31. 31KuPS Kuopio031%
  32. 32Pafos050%
  33. 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
  34. 34Inter Escaldes06%
  35. 35Braga082%
  36. 36Kauno Žalgiris032%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Frequently asked questions

What are Mjällby's chances of going through in the Conference League?

Across 30,000 simulations Mjällby go through (24th place or better) in 88% of cases and reach the top 8 in 27%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.

How many points do Mjällby need to qualify?

7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.

When is Mjällby's next match?

22 October, away against Iberia Tbilisi on matchday 2 of the Conference League.

Which match matters most for Mjällby?

The matchday 3 game at home against Borac. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 26 percentage points.

What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?

They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.