What does Twente need to go through in the Conference League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Twente are 13th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, away against Lincoln Red Imps. In our simulations Twente go through (24th place or better) in 95% of cases and make the top 8 in 48%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Kairat Almaty (matchday 6) and Lincoln Red Imps (matchday 2): each result moves the chances by about 14 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 7th, average 10.4.
Twente matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00Win 60%, draw 22%, defeat 18%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 67%, draw 20%, defeat 13%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw92%If they lose84%
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Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 55%, draw 24%, defeat 21%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw94%If they lose87%
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Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw97%If they lose93%
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Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00Win 37%, draw 26%, defeat 37%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw96%If they lose91%
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Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 62%, draw 22%, defeat 17%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw93%If they lose85%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Twente collect in the league phase.
Where could Twente finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Twente's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Twente go through (24th place or better) in 95% of cases and reach the top 8 in 48%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Twente need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.
When is Twente's next match?
22 October, away against Lincoln Red Imps on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Twente?
The matchday 2 game away against Lincoln Red Imps. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 14 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.