What does Monaco need to go through in the Conference League?
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Updated 21 October 2026, 2026/27 league phase
After matchday 1, Monaco are 9th with 3 points. Next match: 22 October, at home against Freiburg. In our simulations Monaco go through (24th place or better) in 99% of cases and make the top 8 in 65%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 3 game at home against Nordsjælland: winning or losing it moves the chances by 5 percentage points.
30,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 2nd, average 7.5.
Monaco matches
Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.
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Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%Chance of going through:Played
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Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00Win 44%, draw 26%, defeat 30%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose97%
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Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00Win 65%, draw 21%, defeat 15%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw98%If they lose94%
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Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45Win 53%, draw 24%, defeat 23%Chance of going through:If they win>99%If they draw99%If they lose96%
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Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 47%Chance of going through:If they win100%If they draw99%If they lose98%
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Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00Win 89%, draw 8%, defeat 3%Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw95%If they lose90%
How many points are needed?
Chance of going through depending on how many points Monaco collect in the league phase.
Where could Monaco finish?
Final position chances across the simulations.
White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.
Conference League table
The current table. Click a team to open its page. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.
- 1Brighton398%
- 2Copenhagen399%
- 3Trabzonspor393%
- 4Atalanta3>99%
- 5Sint-Truidense380%
- 6Mjällby388%
- 7Freiburg397%
- 8Lugano386%
- 9Monaco399%
- 10Panathinaikos385%
- 11Brann383%
- 12Hajduk Split391%
- 13Twente395%
- 14Gent393%
- 15Kairat Almaty141%
- 16Nordsjælland172%
- 17Getafe191%
- 18Midtjylland190%
- 19Universitatea Craiova168%
- 20Hearts163%
- 21Riga FC148%
- 22Egnatia146%
- 23Jablonec044%
- 24Crvena Zvezda078%
- 25Lincoln Red Imps07%
- 26Ajax069%
- 27Borac027%
- 28CSKA Sofia043%
- 29Thun038%
- 30Aarhus072%
- 31KuPS Kuopio031%
- 32Pafos050%
- 33Iberia Tbilisi016%
- 34Inter Escaldes06%
- 35Braga082%
- 36Kauno Žalgiris032%
How the league phase works
The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.
If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.
Frequently asked questions
What are Monaco's chances of going through in the Conference League?
Across 30,000 simulations Monaco go through (24th place or better) in 99% of cases and reach the top 8 in 65%. The numbers are recalculated after every matchday.
How many points do Monaco need to qualify?
7 points are usually enough: a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations. 8 points make it almost certain.
When is Monaco's next match?
22 October, at home against Freiburg on matchday 2 of the Conference League.
Which match matters most for Monaco?
The matchday 6 game at home against Lincoln Red Imps. Winning or losing it moves their chances of going through by about 10 percentage points.
What happens to teams finishing 9th to 24th in the Conference League?
They play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16. The top eight go straight through, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.