Knockout Math
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What does my team need to qualify? All 108 teams

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Find your team and see its chance of going through, how many points it still needs and which fixtures will decide it. The numbers come from 30,000 simulations per competition and are recalculated after every matchday.

Champions League · Europa League · Conference League

Champions League

The top 8 usually needs 16 points and 24th place or better 9 points. Click a team to see its fixtures and scenarios.

TeamThrough Top 8Pts needed
Bayern München >99%84%6
Real Madrid >99%82%6
Arsenal >99%78%6
Liverpool >99%78%6
Barcelona >99%69%6
Paris Saint-Germain 99%72%6
Manchester City 98%55%6
Borussia Dortmund 96%35%6
Aston Villa 96%36%6
Inter 95%33%9
Sporting CP 90%21%6
Napoli 90%20%9
Stuttgart 90%22%6
Atlético de Madrid 88%20%9
Manchester United 87%19%6
Real Betis 83%13%6
Como 81%12%6
Lens 78%11%6
Roma 74%7%8
PSV Eindhoven 69%6%8
Porto 65%5%9
Villarreal 62%4%9
Fenerbahçe 61%4%8
Leipzig 51%2%9
Feyenoord 47%2%9
Shakhtar Donetsk 45%2%8
Lille 45%2%9
AEK Athens 44%2%6
Galatasaray 41%1%9
Bodø/Glimt 40%2%9
Club Brugge 34%1%9
Slavia Praha 20%<1%9
Slovan Bratislava 12%<1%9
LASK 11%<1%9
Viking 9%<1%9
Sabah 2%0%9

Champions League: full table →

Europa League

The top 8 usually needs 15 points and 24th place or better 9 points. Click a team to see its fixtures and scenarios.

TeamThrough Top 8Pts needed
Benfica >99%86%6
Juventus 99%82%6
Leverkusen 99%74%6
Bournemouth 98%62%6
Lyon 95%46%6
Sunderland 95%45%6
Union SG 95%45%6
Crystal Palace 95%46%6
Milan 93%38%9
Olympiacos 92%37%6
Salzburg 90%31%6
Beşiktaş 89%29%6
Ferencváros 88%26%6
Sparta Praha 86%23%6
Rennes 82%21%8
Marseille 81%18%9
AZ Alkmaar 73%11%9
Real Sociedad 68%9%9
Torreense 65%8%6
Hoffenheim 64%9%9
Celta 62%8%9
N.E.C. Nijmegen 61%8%9
OFI Crete 56%5%6
GNK Dinamo 55%6%8
Sturm Graz 53%5%8
Omonia 49%4%6
Anderlecht 49%4%9
Celtic 46%4%9
Viktoria Plzeň 45%3%9
Jagiellonia 41%3%9
Celje 39%2%9
Lech Poznań 27%1%9
Hapoel Beer-Sheva 26%1%8
Levski Sofia 22%1%9
Lillestrøm 14%<1%9
Ararat-Armenia 10%<1%9

Europa League: full table →

Conference League

The top 8 usually needs 12 points and 24th place or better 7 points. Click a team to see its fixtures and scenarios.

TeamThrough Top 8Pts needed
Atalanta 99%85%7
Brighton 96%58%7
Monaco 95%52%7
Freiburg 94%51%7
Midtjylland 92%47%7
Getafe 91%42%7
Copenhagen 91%44%7
Braga 91%42%7
Twente 89%36%7
Crvena Zvezda 88%35%7
Ajax 84%30%7
Gent 82%28%7
Trabzonspor 79%24%7
Aarhus 79%24%7
Mjällby 79%21%7
Brann 75%19%7
Panathinaikos 74%18%7
Nordsjælland 72%17%7
Hajduk Split 71%17%7
Sint-Truidense 67%13%7
Hearts 67%14%7
Universitatea Craiova 66%13%7
Lugano 65%13%7
Pafos 55%8%7
Riga FC 53%7%7
CSKA Sofia 53%8%7
Jablonec 50%6%7
Thun 48%6%7
KuPS Kuopio 47%6%7
Kairat Almaty 43%4%7
Egnatia 40%4%7
Kauno Žalgiris 40%4%7
Borac 35%3%7
Iberia Tbilisi 25%2%7
Inter Escaldes 12%<1%7
Lincoln Red Imps 11%<1%7

Conference League: full table →