What does Borac need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Borac will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Panathinaikos. In our simulations Borac go through (24th place or better) in 35% of cases and make the top 8 in 3%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against KuPS Kuopio (matchday 2) and Riga (matchday 6): each result moves the chances by about 37 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

35%chance of going through (top 24)

3%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 34th, average 26.2.

Borac matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 18:45

AwayPanathinaikos –

Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 64%

Chance of going through:If they win66%If they draw40%If they lose26%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 21:00

HomeKuPS Kuopio –

Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 35%

Chance of going through:If they win55%If they draw27%If they lose18%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 18:45

AwayMjällby –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win62%If they draw37%If they lose23%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 21:00

HomeAtalanta –

Win 9%, draw 16%, defeat 75%

Chance of going through:If they win70%If they draw44%If they lose29%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

AwayHearts –

Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%

Chance of going through:If they win64%If they draw38%If they lose24%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

HomeRiga –

Win 40%, draw 26%, defeat 34%

Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw27%If they lose17%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Borac collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

51%

611%

770%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14unlikely

15unlikely

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Borac finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.