What does Iberia Tbilisi need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Iberia Tbilisi will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, away against Sint-Truidense. In our simulations Iberia Tbilisi go through (24th place or better) in 26% of cases and make the top 8 in 2%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest match is the matchday 2 game at home against Mjällby: winning or losing it moves the chances by 33 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

26%chance of going through (top 24)

2%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 35th, average 28.1.

Iberia Tbilisi matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwaySint-Truidense –

Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%

Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw29%If they lose17%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

HomeMjällby –

Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 43%

Chance of going through:If they win47%If they draw23%If they lose13%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayCopenhagen –

Win 11%, draw 17%, defeat 72%

Chance of going through:If they win59%If they draw32%If they lose20%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeGetafe –

Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%

Chance of going through:If they win53%If they draw28%If they lose18%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 18:45

HomeCrvena Zvezda –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win51%If they draw28%If they lose16%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayJablonec –

Win 21%, draw 24%, defeat 55%

Chance of going through:If they win53%If they draw27%If they lose15%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Iberia Tbilisi collect in the league phase.

00%

10%

20%

30%

40%

5<1%

612%

770%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14unlikely

15unlikely

16unlikely

17unlikely

18unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Iberia Tbilisi finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Atalanta99%
2Brighton96%
3Monaco95%
4Freiburg94%
5Midtjylland93%
6Copenhagen92%
7Braga91%
8Getafe92%
9Twente89%
10Crvena Zvezda88%
11Ajax85%
12Gent82%
13Trabzonspor79%
14Aarhus79%
15Mjällby78%
16Brann75%
17Panathinaikos75%
18Hajduk Split72%
19Nordsjælland72%
20Sint-Truidense67%
21Hearts66%
22Universitatea Craiova67%
23Lugano64%
24Pafos55%
25Riga FC53%
26CSKA Sofia52%
27Jablonec49%
28Thun47%
29KuPS Kuopio46%
30Kairat Almaty43%
31Egnatia40%
32Kauno Žalgiris39%
33Borac35%
34Iberia Tbilisi26%
35Inter Escaldes13%
36Lincoln Red Imps11%

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.