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What does Hapoel Beer-Sheva need to go through in the Europa League?

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Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Hapoel Beer-Sheva are 18th with 1 point. Next match: 15 October, away against AZ Alkmaar. In our simulations Hapoel Beer-Sheva go through (24th place or better) in 28% of cases and make the top 8 in 1%. 10 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations). The biggest match is the matchday 4 game at home against OFI Crete: winning or losing it moves the chances by 30 percentage points.

18thleague position
1point from 1 match
28%chance of going through (top 24)
1%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 34th, average 27.7.

Hapoel Beer-Sheva matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

  1. Matchday 1Wednesday 16 September, 21:00
    HomeGNK Dinamo0–0
    Win 37%, draw 26%, defeat 36%
    Chance of going through:Played
  2. Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 18:45
    AwayAZ Alkmaar –
    Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%
    Chance of going through:If they win56%If they draw31%If they lose19%
  3. Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 18:45
    AwayUnion SG –
    Win 17%, draw 22%, defeat 61%
    Chance of going through:If they win55%If they draw32%If they lose19%
  4. Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00
    HomeOFI Crete –
    Win 48%, draw 25%, defeat 26%
    Chance of going through:If they win41%If they draw19%If they lose11%
  5. Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45
    AwayBeşiktaş –
    Win 19%, draw 23%, defeat 58%
    Chance of going through:If they win53%If they draw29%If they lose19%
  6. Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 18:45
    HomeJuventus –
    Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 65%
    Chance of going through:If they win54%If they draw32%If they lose21%
  7. Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 21:00
    HomeCelta –
    Win 28%, draw 26%, defeat 46%
    Chance of going through:If they win50%If they draw26%If they lose16%
  8. Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00
    AwayBournemouth –
    Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 67%
    Chance of going through:If they win56%If they draw33%If they lose21%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Hapoel Beer-Sheva collect in the league phase.

0unlikely
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7<1%
85%
948%
1093%
11>99%
12100%
13100%
14100%
15100%
16100%
17unlikely
18unlikely
19unlikely
20unlikely
21unlikely
22unlikely
23unlikely
24unlikely
almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Hapoel Beer-Sheva finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

  1. 1Juventus399%
  2. 2Crystal Palace394%
  3. 3Sparta Praha383%
  4. 4Beşiktaş385%
  5. 5Union SG392%
  6. 6Ferencváros382%
  7. 7Benfica399%
  8. 8Leverkusen399%
  9. 9OFI Crete348%
  10. 10Lyon394%
  11. 11Torreense360%
  12. 12Bournemouth397%
  13. 13Olympiacos390%
  14. 14Salzburg389%
  15. 15Omonia345%
  16. 16Sunderland393%
  17. 17Rennes183%
  18. 18Hapoel Beer-Sheva128%
  19. 19GNK Dinamo154%
  20. 20Sturm Graz152%
  21. 21Jagiellonia040%
  22. 22Real Sociedad071%
  23. 23Anderlecht050%
  24. 24Lillestrøm015%
  25. 25AZ Alkmaar075%
  26. 26Celta064%
  27. 27Levski Sofia020%
  28. 28Celtic053%
  29. 29Hoffenheim071%
  30. 30Milan095%
  31. 31Celje040%
  32. 32Marseille083%
  33. 33Ararat-Armenia011%
  34. 34Viktoria Plzeň049%
  35. 35Lech Poznań033%
  36. 36N.E.C. Nijmegen063%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.

Other Europa League teams