What does Brighton need to go through in the Conference League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Brighton will play 6 league-phase matches, 3 at home and 3 away. First match: 15 October, at home against Kauno Žalgiris. In our simulations Brighton go through (24th place or better) in 96% of cases and make the top 8 in 58%. 7 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 8 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Jablonec (matchday 2) and Universitatea Craiova (matchday 4): each result moves the chances by about 10 percentage points.

–league position (not started yet)

0points from 0 matches

96%chance of going through (top 24)

58%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 1st, average 8.9.

Brighton matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 15 October, 21:00

HomeKauno Žalgiris –

Win 79%, draw 14%, defeat 7%

Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw91%If they lose83%
Matchday 2Thursday 22 October, 18:45

AwayJablonec –

Win 61%, draw 22%, defeat 17%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw93%If they lose89%
Matchday 3Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayGetafe –

Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw96%If they lose92%
Matchday 4Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeUniversitatea Craiova –

Win 72%, draw 17%, defeat 11%

Chance of going through:If they win98%If they draw93%If they lose85%
Matchday 5Thursday 10 December, 21:00

HomeMonaco –

Win 47%, draw 26%, defeat 28%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw95%If they lose91%
Matchday 6Thursday 17 December, 21:00

AwayPanathinaikos –

Win 49%, draw 25%, defeat 26%

Chance of going through:If they win99%If they draw96%If they lose90%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Brighton collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

1unlikely

2unlikely

3unlikely

40%

52%

626%

789%

8>99%

9100%

10100%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17unlikely

18100%

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Brighton finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Projected Conference League table

The league phase has not started yet, so teams are ordered by their average projected position. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

How the league phase works

The Conference League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 6 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.