What does Porto need to go through in the Champions League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Porto are 31st with 0 points. Next match: 14 October, away against Real Betis. In our simulations Porto go through (24th place or better) in 67% of cases and make the top 8 in 6%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against LASK (matchday 8) and Feyenoord (matchday 5): each result moves the chances by about 36 percentage points.

31stleague position

0point from 1 match

67%chance of going through (top 24)

6%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 23rd, average 20.6.

Porto matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Tuesday 8 September, 21:00

HomeManchester City0–2

Win 26%, draw 25%, defeat 49%

Chance of going through:Played
Matchday 2Wednesday 14 October, 21:00

AwayReal Betis –

Win 34%, draw 26%, defeat 40%

Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw65%If they lose53%
Matchday 3Tuesday 20 October, 21:00

HomePSV Eindhoven –

Win 45%, draw 26%, defeat 29%

Chance of going through:If they win82%If they draw62%If they lose48%
Matchday 4Wednesday 4 November, 21:00

HomeNapoli –

Win 36%, draw 26%, defeat 38%

Chance of going through:If they win84%If they draw65%If they lose52%
Matchday 5Tuesday 24 November, 21:00

AwayFeyenoord –

Win 38%, draw 26%, defeat 36%

Chance of going through:If they win85%If they draw64%If they lose50%
Matchday 6Wednesday 9 December, 21:00

AwayLiverpool –

Win 14%, draw 20%, defeat 67%

Chance of going through:If they win88%If they draw72%If they lose61%
Matchday 7Tuesday 19 January, 21:00

HomeSlavia Praha –

Win 60%, draw 22%, defeat 18%

Chance of going through:If they win78%If they draw56%If they lose44%
Matchday 8Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

AwayLASK –

Win 56%, draw 23%, defeat 20%

Chance of going through:If they win79%If they draw58%If they lose43%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Porto collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

1unlikely

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

71%

818%

970%

1097%

11100%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17100%

18100%

19100%

20unlikely

21unlikely

22unlikely

23unlikely

24unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Porto finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Champions League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Paris Saint-Germain3>99%
2Bayern München3>99%
3Barcelona399%
4Manchester United386%
5Como377%
6Sporting CP389%
7Stuttgart388%
8Manchester City398%
9Real Betis382%
10Lens375%
11Aston Villa395%
12Borussia Dortmund395%
13Real Madrid3>99%
14Liverpool3>99%
15Arsenal3>99%
16AEK Athens342%
17Roma174%
18Shakhtar Donetsk144%
19Fenerbahçe160%
20PSV Eindhoven166%
21Villarreal063%
22Slavia Praha021%
23Club Brugge035%
24Lille047%
25Atlético de Madrid089%
26Inter095%
27LASK011%
28Napoli090%
29Galatasaray045%
30Viking09%
31Porto067%
32Leipzig057%
33Feyenoord047%
34Sabah02%
35Slovan Bratislava011%
36Bodø/Glimt041%

How the league phase works

The Champions League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.