What does Beşiktaş need to go through in the Europa League?

Updated 25 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

After matchday 1, Beşiktaş are 4th with 3 points. Next match: 15 October, away against Hoffenheim. In our simulations Beşiktaş go through (24th place or better) in 84% of cases and make the top 8 in 25%. 9 points are usually enough (a team on that total goes through in more than half of the simulations), and 10 points make it almost certain. The biggest matches are against Hapoel Beer-Sheva (matchday 5) and Omonia (matchday 8): each result moves the chances by about 27 percentage points.

4thleague position

3point from 1 match

84%chance of going through (top 24)

25%chance of making the top 8

15,000 simulations. Most likely finish: 8th, average 15.1.

Beşiktaş matches

Times in your time zone. Under each match you can see how its result changes the chance of going through. Enter your own prediction and every number on the page updates.

Matchday 1Thursday 17 September, 21:00

HomeMarseille4–1

Win 33%, draw 26%, defeat 41%

Chance of going through:Played
Matchday 2Thursday 15 October, 21:00

AwayHoffenheim –

Win 25%, draw 25%, defeat 50%

Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw87%If they lose77%
Matchday 3Thursday 22 October, 21:00

HomeCrystal Palace –

Win 36%, draw 26%, defeat 38%

Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw84%If they lose75%
Matchday 4Thursday 5 November, 21:00

AwayCeltic –

Win 31%, draw 26%, defeat 43%

Chance of going through:If they win96%If they draw85%If they lose76%
Matchday 5Thursday 26 November, 18:45

HomeHapoel Beer-Sheva –

Win 58%, draw 23%, defeat 19%

Chance of going through:If they win93%If they draw79%If they lose66%
Matchday 6Thursday 10 December, 21:00

AwayLeverkusen –

Win 15%, draw 21%, defeat 64%

Chance of going through:If they win97%If they draw88%If they lose80%
Matchday 7Thursday 21 January, 18:45

HomeUnion SG –

Win 41%, draw 26%, defeat 33%

Chance of going through:If they win95%If they draw82%If they lose73%
Matchday 8Thursday 28 January, 21:00

AwayOmonia –

Win 46%, draw 26%, defeat 28%

Chance of going through:If they win94%If they draw81%If they lose71%

How many points are needed?

Chance of going through depending on how many points Beşiktaş collect in the league phase.

0unlikely

1unlikely

2unlikely

3unlikely

40%

50%

60%

7<1%

813%

963%

1097%

11>99%

12100%

13100%

14100%

15100%

16100%

17100%

18100%

19100%

20100%

21100%

22unlikely

23unlikely

24unlikely

almost certainlikelypossible

Where could Beşiktaş finish?

Final position chances across the simulations.

1st8th24th36th

White: top 8, yellow: 9th–24th, grey: eliminated.

Europa League table

The current table. On the right: chance of going through. The solid line after 8th means a direct place in the round of 16, the dashed line after 24th is the elimination line.

1Juventus399%
2Crystal Palace394%
3Sparta Praha383%
4Beşiktaş384%
5Union SG392%
6Ferencváros382%
7Benfica399%
8Leverkusen399%
9OFI Crete349%
10Lyon395%
11Torreense360%
12Bournemouth397%
13Olympiacos390%
14Salzburg389%
15Omonia346%
16Sunderland393%
17Rennes183%
18Hapoel Beer-Sheva127%
19GNK Dinamo154%
20Sturm Graz152%
21Jagiellonia041%
22Real Sociedad071%
23Anderlecht049%
24Lillestrøm015%
25AZ Alkmaar075%
26Celta064%
27Levski Sofia020%
28Celtic053%
29Hoffenheim071%
30Milan095%
31Celje039%
32Marseille083%
33Ararat-Armenia011%
34Viktoria Plzeň050%
35Lech Poznań034%
36N.E.C. Nijmegen063%

How the league phase works

The Europa League league phase has 36 teams in a single table. Each team plays 8 matches against different opponents, half at home and half away. The top eight go straight into the round of 16. Teams finishing 9th to 24th play a two-legged knockout play-off in February for a place in the round of 16, while 25th to 36th are eliminated.

If teams finish level on points, the order is decided by goal difference, then goals scored, away goals scored, wins, away wins and finally the combined record of their opponents.