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Conference League matchday 3: what every team needs

← Conference League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Conference League matchday 3 is played on 5 November across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Egnatia: a win would lift their chances of going through to 70%, a defeat would drop them to 28%.

Matchday 3 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Aarhus – Braga 33% · 26% · 41%
  2. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Atalanta – Kairat Almaty 82% · 12% · 6%
  3. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes 77% · 15% · 8%
  4. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 KuPS Kuopio – Gent 28% · 26% · 46%
  5. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split 19% · 23% · 58%
  6. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Midtjylland – Ajax 38% · 26% · 35%
  7. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Mjällby – Borac 55% · 24% · 21%
  8. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Thun – Hearts 38% · 26% · 35%
  9. Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Trabzonspor – Freiburg 29% · 26% · 45%
  10. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi 72% · 17% · 11%
  11. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Getafe – Brighton 33% · 26% · 41%
  12. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris 55% · 24% · 21%
  13. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Monaco – Nordsjælland 64% · 21% · 15%
  14. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia 54% · 24% · 22%
  15. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Riga FC – Jablonec 40% · 26% · 34%
  16. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Sint-Truidense – Brann 44% · 26% · 30%
  17. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Twente – Pafos 54% · 24% · 22%
  18. Thu 5 Nov, 21:00 Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia 58% · 23% · 19%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
EgnatiaUniversitatea Craiova – Egnatia40%70%28%
Kauno ŽalgirisLugano – Kauno Žalgiris40%69%28%
JablonecRiga FC – Jablonec50%73%32%
ThunThun – Hearts48%69%28%
KuPS KuopioKuPS Kuopio – Gent47%72%32%

Frequently asked questions

When is Conference League matchday 3 played?

On 5 November, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 3?

Egnatia. A win lifts their chances of going through to 70%, a defeat drops them to 28% — a swing of about 42 percentage points.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 12 points usually secure the top 8, and 7 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays