Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
Hajduk SplitLeague phase not started yet
19%Lincoln Red Imps win
23%Draw
58%Hajduk Split win
The model gives Lincoln Red Imps a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Hajduk Split 58%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 29%, a defeat to 5%. Hajduk Split's chance of going through is 71% now: a win would take it to 83%, a defeat to 48%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lincoln Red Imps: top 8 | Lincoln Red Imps: through | Hajduk Split: top 8 | Hajduk Split: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| Lincoln Red Imps win | 1% | 29% | 5% | 48% |
| Draw | <1% | 11% | 9% | 62% |
| Hajduk Split win | <1% | 5% | 24% | 83% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia