Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
Universitatea CraiovaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
EgnatiaLeague phase not started yet
58%Universitatea Craiova win
23%Draw
19%Egnatia win
The model gives Universitatea Craiova a 58% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Egnatia 19%. Universitatea Craiova's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 79%, a defeat to 40%. Egnatia's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 70%, a defeat to 28%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Universitatea Craiova: top 8 | Universitatea Craiova: through | Egnatia: top 8 | Egnatia: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13% | 66% | 4% | 40% |
| Universitatea Craiova win | 18% | 79% | 1% | 28% |
| Draw | 6% | 55% | 3% | 45% |
| Egnatia win | 3% | 40% | 11% | 70% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec