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Conference League matchday 4: what every team needs

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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Conference League matchday 4 is played on 26 November across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Jablonec: a win would lift their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat would drop them to 30%.

Matchday 4 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 26 Nov, 16:30 Kairat Almaty – Mjällby 38% · 26% · 35%
  2. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Ajax – Thun 67% · 20% · 14%
  3. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Brann – Aarhus 41% · 26% · 33%
  4. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Brighton – Universitatea Craiova 72% · 17% · 11%
  5. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps 55% · 24% · 21%
  6. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Hearts – Monaco 23% · 25% · 52%
  7. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe 17% · 22% · 61%
  8. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Jablonec – Lugano 38% · 26% · 35%
  9. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Kauno Žalgiris – Riga FC 43% · 26% · 31%
  10. Thu 26 Nov, 18:45 Pafos – Midtjylland 32% · 26% · 42%
  11. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Borac – Atalanta 9% · 16% · 75%
  12. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Braga – KuPS Kuopio 67% · 20% · 14%
  13. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor 33% · 26% · 41%
  14. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Freiburg – Twente 58% · 23% · 19%
  15. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Gent – Crvena Zvezda 44% · 26% · 30%
  16. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense 44% · 26% · 30%
  17. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen 14% · 20% · 66%
  18. Thu 26 Nov, 21:00 Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos 41% · 26% · 33%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
JablonecJablonec – Lugano50%73%30%
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty – Mjällby43%64%24%
Riga FCKauno Žalgiris – Riga FC53%76%36%
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris – Riga FC40%59%19%
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor53%76%36%

Frequently asked questions

When is Conference League matchday 4 played?

On 26 November, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 4?

Jablonec. A win lifts their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat drops them to 30% — a swing of about 43 percentage points.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 12 points usually secure the top 8, and 7 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays