Riga FC vs Jablonec: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
JablonecLeague phase not started yet
40%Riga FC win
26%Draw
34%Jablonec win
The model gives Riga FC a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Jablonec 34%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 74%, a defeat to 33%. Jablonec's chance of going through is 50% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 32%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | Jablonec: top 8 | Jablonec: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7% | 53% | 6% | 50% |
| Riga FC win | 14% | 74% | 2% | 32% |
| Draw | 4% | 48% | 4% | 48% |
| Jablonec win | 2% | 33% | 13% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
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- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia