Twente vs Pafos: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
TwenteLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
PafosLeague phase not started yet
54%Twente win
24%Draw
22%Pafos win
The model gives Twente a 54% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Pafos 22%. Twente's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 75%. Pafos's chance of going through is 55% now: a win would take it to 82%, a defeat to 43%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Twente: top 8 | Twente: through | Pafos: top 8 | Pafos: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 89% | 8% | 55% |
| Twente win | 50% | 96% | 3% | 43% |
| Draw | 25% | 85% | 7% | 59% |
| Pafos win | 15% | 75% | 21% | 82% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia