Knockout Math
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KuPS Kuopio vs Gent: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45

KuPS KuopioLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
GentLeague phase not started yet
28%KuPS Kuopio win
26%Draw
46%Gent win

The model gives KuPS Kuopio a 28% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Gent 46%. KuPS Kuopio's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 72%, a defeat to 32%. Gent's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 67%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

KuPS Kuopio: top 8KuPS Kuopio: throughGent: top 8Gent: through
Now6%47%28%82%
KuPS Kuopio win14%72%12%67%
Draw4%47%20%79%
Gent win2%32%42%93%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%

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