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Conference League matchday 2: what every team needs

← Conference League: full table and chances

Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Conference League matchday 2 is played on 22 October across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Egnatia: a win would lift their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat would drop them to 30%.

Matchday 2 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Thu 22 Oct, 16:30 Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos 31% · 26% · 43%
  2. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Crvena Zvezda – Copenhagen 41% · 26% · 33%
  3. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Getafe – Lugano 58% · 23% · 19%
  4. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Iberia Tbilisi – Mjällby 31% · 26% · 43%
  5. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Inter Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova 23% · 25% · 52%
  6. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Jablonec – Brighton 17% · 22% · 61%
  7. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Kauno Žalgiris – Brann 33% · 26% · 41%
  8. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Nordsjælland – CSKA Sofia 51% · 25% · 24%
  9. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Pafos – Riga FC 53% · 24% · 23%
  10. Thu 22 Oct, 18:45 Trabzonspor – Hearts 51% · 25% · 24%
  11. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Aarhus – Egnatia 64% · 21% · 15%
  12. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Ajax – Atalanta 29% · 26% · 45%
  13. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Borac – KuPS Kuopio 38% · 26% · 35%
  14. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Braga – Gent 50% · 25% · 25%
  15. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Lincoln Red Imps – Twente 14% · 20% · 66%
  16. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Midtjylland – Sint-Truidense 55% · 24% · 21%
  17. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Monaco – Freiburg 44% · 26% · 30%
  18. Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Thun – Hajduk Split 38% · 26% · 35%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
EgnatiaAarhus – Egnatia40%73%30%
ThunThun – Hajduk Split48%70%28%
PafosPafos – Riga FC55%71%31%
Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris – Brann40%63%23%
Riga FCPafos – Riga FC53%80%40%

Frequently asked questions

When is Conference League matchday 2 played?

On 22 October, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 2?

Egnatia. A win lifts their chances of going through to 73%, a defeat drops them to 30% — a swing of about 43 percentage points.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 12 points usually secure the top 8, and 7 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays