Mjällby vs Borac: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
MjällbyLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
BoracLeague phase not started yet
55%Mjällby win
24%Draw
21%Borac win
The model gives Mjällby a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Borac 21%. Mjällby's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 57%. Borac's chance of going through is 35% now: a win would take it to 63%, a defeat to 23%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Mjällby: top 8 | Mjällby: through | Borac: top 8 | Borac: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 79% | 3% | 35% |
| Mjällby win | 30% | 90% | 1% | 23% |
| Draw | 11% | 71% | 2% | 37% |
| Borac win | 6% | 57% | 8% | 63% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia