Thun vs Hearts: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
ThunLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
HeartsLeague phase not started yet
38%Thun win
26%Draw
35%Hearts win
The model gives Thun a 38% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Hearts 35%. Thun's chance of going through is 48% now: a win would take it to 69%, a defeat to 28%. Hearts's chance of going through is 67% now: a win would take it to 87%, a defeat to 50%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Thun: top 8 | Thun: through | Hearts: top 8 | Hearts: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 48% | 14% | 67% |
| Thun win | 12% | 69% | 5% | 50% |
| Draw | 4% | 43% | 10% | 65% |
| Hearts win | 1% | 28% | 27% | 87% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia