Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Escaldes: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 18:45
Crvena ZvezdaLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
77%Crvena Zvezda win
15%Draw
8%Inter Escaldes win
The model gives Crvena Zvezda a 77% chance of winning, a draw 15% and Inter Escaldes 8%. Crvena Zvezda's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 66%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 39%, a defeat to 9%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Crvena Zvezda: top 8 | Crvena Zvezda: through | Inter Escaldes: top 8 | Inter Escaldes: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 35% | 88% | <1% | 12% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 41% | 92% | <1% | 9% |
| Draw | 19% | 75% | 1% | 17% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 11% | 66% | 3% | 39% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
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- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
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- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
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