Monaco vs Nordsjælland: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
64%Monaco win
21%Draw
15%Nordsjælland win
The model gives Monaco a 64% chance of winning, a draw 21% and Nordsjælland 15%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 65%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | Nordsjælland: top 8 | Nordsjælland: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 52% | 95% | 17% | 72% |
| Monaco win | 63% | 98% | 10% | 65% |
| Draw | 36% | 92% | 19% | 77% |
| Nordsjælland win | 24% | 85% | 40% | 92% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Copenhagen – Iberia Tbilisi
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia