Copenhagen vs Iberia Tbilisi: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November, 21:00
CopenhagenLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 3
Iberia TbilisiLeague phase not started yet
72%Copenhagen win
17%Draw
11%Iberia Tbilisi win
The model gives Copenhagen a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Iberia Tbilisi 11%. Copenhagen's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 74%. Iberia Tbilisi's chance of going through is 25% now: a win would take it to 57%, a defeat to 19%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Copenhagen: top 8 | Copenhagen: through | Iberia Tbilisi: top 8 | Iberia Tbilisi: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 44% | 91% | 2% | 25% |
| Copenhagen win | 52% | 96% | 1% | 19% |
| Draw | 27% | 84% | 2% | 31% |
| Iberia Tbilisi win | 17% | 74% | 8% | 57% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 3 fixtures
- Aarhus – Braga
- Atalanta – Kairat Almaty
- Midtjylland – Ajax
- Thun – Hearts
- Crvena Zvezda – Inter Escaldes
- KuPS Kuopio – Gent
- Lincoln Red Imps – Hajduk Split
- Mjällby – Borac
- Trabzonspor – Freiburg
- Monaco – Nordsjælland
- Lugano – Kauno Žalgiris
- Twente – Pafos
- Getafe – Brighton
- Sint-Truidense – Brann
- Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia
- Riga FC – Jablonec
- Universitatea Craiova – Egnatia