Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga FC: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 18:45
Kauno ŽalgirisLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
Riga FCLeague phase not started yet
43%Kauno Žalgiris win
26%Draw
31%Riga FC win
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 43% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Riga FC 31%. Kauno Žalgiris's chance of going through is 40% now: a win would take it to 59%, a defeat to 19%. Riga FC's chance of going through is 53% now: a win would take it to 76%, a defeat to 36%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Kauno Žalgiris: top 8 | Kauno Žalgiris: through | Riga FC: top 8 | Riga FC: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 40% | 7% | 53% |
| Kauno Žalgiris win | 7% | 59% | 2% | 36% |
| Draw | 2% | 33% | 4% | 52% |
| Riga FC win | 1% | 19% | 17% | 76% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 4 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty – Mjällby
- Ajax – Thun
- Brighton – Universitatea Craiova
- Iberia Tbilisi – Getafe
- Jablonec – Lugano
- Hearts – Monaco
- Egnatia – Lincoln Red Imps
- Pafos – Midtjylland
- Brann – Aarhus
- Nordsjælland – Panathinaikos
- Borac – Atalanta
- Hajduk Split – Sint-Truidense
- Inter Escaldes – Copenhagen
- Gent – Crvena Zvezda
- CSKA Sofia – Trabzonspor
- Braga – KuPS Kuopio
- Freiburg – Twente