Knockout Math
Latviski

Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos: what's at stake in the Conference League?

← Conference League: full table and chances

Matchday 4 · Thursday 26 November, 21:00

NordsjællandLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 4
PanathinaikosLeague phase not started yet
41%Nordsjælland win
26%Draw
33%Panathinaikos win

The model gives Nordsjælland a 41% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Panathinaikos 33%. Nordsjælland's chance of going through is 72% now: a win would take it to 88%, a defeat to 54%. Panathinaikos's chance of going through is 74% now: a win would take it to 92%, a defeat to 61%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Nordsjælland: top 8Nordsjælland: throughPanathinaikos: top 8Panathinaikos: through
Now17%72%18%74%
Nordsjælland win29%88%8%61%
Draw11%68%14%74%
Panathinaikos win6%54%35%92%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%

Other matchday 4 fixtures